Coronavirus Maharashtra: Infection spread rate down to 1.23

ST Staff
Tuesday, 2 June 2020

In epidemiology, R Naught is an indicator of how contagious an infectious disease is. India imposed a strict lockdown to contain the spread of COVID-19.

Pune: The corona infection rate has come down to 1.23 persons from 4 persons in the last 83 days.  

In epidemiology, R Naught is an indicator of how contagious an infectious disease is. India imposed a strict lockdown to contain the spread of COVID-19. If lockdown had not been imposed, then one infected person would have spread the infection to 465 others. Maharashtra had R Naught 4 till March-end, which means one person infected with coronavirus would have spread the disease to a minimum of 4 other persons. 

Lockdown was imposed in the last week of March. All crowded places were closed for public, and non-essential public movement was banned. Due to these stringent measures, R0 came down to 2.5 in the first week of April. Now we have the challenge to reduce it further down to 1. Public Health officials believe that if this rate is achieved, then one patient would infect only one other person and other persons would remain safe, thereby reducing the spread further. 

DOUBLING RATE ALSO SLOWS DOWN
Maharashtra state government has succeeded in slowing down the COVID-19 doubling rate of cases. Cases increasing in thousands per week were reduced to just 246 patients in the last week. Earlier it took 11.7 days for cases to double, which is now taking 17.5 days and that's a significant positive development

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