No smooth sailing for Modi government in 2019 LS polls

Sakal Times
Saturday, 26 May 2018

Maharashtra voters believe that Bharatiya Janata Party is at an advantage in absence of a strong opposition

- Narendra Modi’s leadership was tested on issues such as forming the Niti Aayog, note ban, surgical strikes, GST, reforms in taxation, FDI etc.

- Much was talked about economic reforms and growth rate. However, nothing concrete is reflected in the daily life as far as the common man is concerned

- In the backdrop of the Karnataka assembly election results and the political equations thereafter, Maharashtra voters said the BJP is at an advantage as there is no strong opposition. In all, 45 per cent urban voters while 40 per cent in the State are of this opinion.
However, 30 per cent voters from the age group of 18-45 years responded by saying ‘can’t say’. Parties’ success depends on how they approach, said 30 per cent of the respondents.    

- In case of snap polls, the BJP may emerge as the single largest party with the first preference of 29 per cent voters. In all, 30 per cent voters in urban areas while 27 per cent in rural areas have this opinion.

- The Congress is the second party of their preference (from urban areas 28 per cent while 26 per cent from rural areas), the Shiv Sena got the third preference (23 per cent) while the NCP trails behind (21 per cent). Rural voters are comparatively more in favour of the Shiv Sena and the NCP.

- In a nutshell, the BJP-SS alliance may get preference of 52 per cent voters while the Congress-NCP alliance is likely to be preferred by 48 per cent voters. The gap between the BJP and the Congress is not much. Hence, their success would depend on whether they are able to keep their alliances intact or go solo in the elections.

- In all, 37 per cent voters would consider the background of the candidate while voting. Forty per cent fresh voters share the same opinion.

- 35 per cent voters said employment generation is a big challenge before the government. Among them are 37 per cent youths.

- 25 per cent voters said increasing the growth rate would be the biggest challenge before the government in the future.

- 16 per cent voters said the government has been trying its best to fulfill promises made four years ago. 42 per cent said few efforts made in that direction. This percentage is 14 per cent and 39 per cent for the youths and fresh voters, respectively, in the age group of 18-45 years, who supposed to have voted this government to power.

- 40 per cent voters said the government has failed to control inflation. There are 43 per cent women among them.    

- The BJP-Sena combine is preferred by 52 per cent of the voters, while the Congress-NCP alliance is favoured by 48 per cent voters. Considering the narrow gap between the BJP and the Congress considering the voters’ preference, their success in the coming elections would depend on whether they contest the elections independently or with their respective alliances.

- 37 per cent voters said the background of the candidate is a major factor while voting while 40 per cent said they would prefer a new candidate. 

- 35 per cent voters feel that employment generation is among the biggest challenges before the government. 34 per cent voters said PM Modi should fulfill the promise given during the 2014 General Elections of generating one crore jobs. This opinion is shared by 34 per cent voters, among whom 37 per cent are youngsters. Besides 25 per cent voters feel that increasing the GDP rate, too, is one of the biggest challenges before the government 

- 16 per cent voters said the government has taken steps to fulfill the promises made during the election campaign while 42 per cent feel only a few of the promises have been fulfilled. This percentage is 14 per cent and 39 per cent for the youths and fresh voters, respectively, in the age group of 18-45 years, who supposed to have voted this government to power. 
Nearly, 40 per cent of the voters have said that the party has failed in containing the inflation, among these 43 per cent are women. 

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