Pune: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that the withdrawal of southwest monsoon from western parts of Rajasthan will likely commence from around September 29.
According to the IMD, dry weather is likely to prevail over west Rajasthan from Tuesday. This will reduce the moisture associated with the monsoon flow and a changeover in the low-level wind pattern is also likely over the region from September 27, starting the withdrawal subsequently.
The IMD predicted that intense precipitation activity over western Himalayan region and adjoining northwest India is most likely to decrease significantly from Tuesday. However, it is essential to remain cautious over the hilly terrains of Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh due to the accumulated effect of past few days’ heavy rains.
Northeastern states and south peninsular India are very likely to experience fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity with heavy to very rainfall at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh and Assam, Meghalaya and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu till September 28.
The IMD has also forecast that till September 30, maximum temperatures are likely to rise by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius over northwest, central and west India.
As of Tuesday, the southwest monsoon has been vigorous over Assam, Meghalaya, west Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab and Himachal Pradesh and active over sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and Uttarakhand.
It has been subdued over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, east Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra and Kutch, Maharashtra, Goa, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and coastal and north interior Karnataka.
Between September 27 and September 28, thunderstorm accompanied with lightning are very likely at isolated places over south Konkan and Goa, south Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada.