‘Heavy rainfall likely across North India’

Namrata Devikar
Saturday, 22 September 2018

Moreover, the south peninsula and east and northeast India faced 21 per cent and 49 per cent rainfall deficiency respectively during the same time.

Pune: The country witnessed 55 per cent rainfall deficiency in the third consecutive week of September. However, due to a depression in the Bay of Bengal, extremely heavy rainfall is forecast in many parts of the country.

As per data furnished by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) northwest India experienced 68 per cent rainfall deficiency between September 13 and September 19. Central India, which includes Maharashtra, also experienced 68 per cent rainfall deficiency. 

Moreover, the south peninsula and east and northeast India faced 21 per cent and 49 per cent rainfall deficiency respectively during the same time.

Seasonal scenario
The low rainfall has affected overall rainfall for monsoon season.  Continued on Between June 1 and September 19, the country as a whole witnessed 10 per cent deficiency in rainfall.

Southwest monsoon
As of Friday, the southwest monsoon has been vigorous over Gangetic West Bengal.

ENSO conditions
The IMD said, “Currently, El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific Ocean.  The latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS)  forecast indicates possibility of development of weak El Niño conditions in the October-November-December period or thereafter.”

Cyclonic storm ‘Daye’ 
The deep depression over the west-central Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards and intensified into a cyclonic storm ‘Daye’ on Thursday night. It crossed south Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast close to Gopalpur (Odisha) as a cyclonic storm with a wind speed of 60 to 70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph. It is very likely to continue to move west-northwestwards and weaken gradually into a depression by Friday night.

However, it is likely to cause heavy to very heavy rainfall over Vidarbha on September 22. The heavy to very heavy rainfall activity is also likely over north Konkan, north Madhya Maharashtra during the same time.
 

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