Pune: The intensity of the rainfall will be normal after September 21 as the rainfall system in Arabian Sea will subside, said officials of the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday. The IMD also said that the current weather analysis and numerical model prediction suggests widespread rainfall activity is most likely to continue for next three days and decrease thereafter. Fairly widespread rainfall activity is most likely to occur over Madhya Maharashtra for next three days and decrease thereafter.
AK Srivastava, Senior Scientist and Head of Climate Monitoring and Analysis Group said, “There are two systems at the moment. One is in the Arabian Sea and the other in the Bay of Bengal. The heavy rainfall in Konkan and Goa is due to the Arabian Sea system which is very strong right now. By September 21, this system is going to loose its strength and so the intensity of the rainfall will reduce. Rains might continue, but the intensity will reduce. At the same time, the Bay of Bengal system will grow strong and region of Chhattisgarh and Uttar Pradesh may receive rainfall. This time, Vidarbha may also experience rainfall.”
He said there should be no confusion that heavy rainfall will subside after September 20. On September 20, according to IMD, Marathwada and Vidarbha may experience heavy rainfall. On September 21, Madhya Maharashtra, north Marathwada and Vidarbha may receive heavy rainfall.
Pune city may also experience rain with thundershowers in the coming days till September 25.
For the country, rain at many places are very likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, parts of northern plains and southeast peninsula. Isolated to scattered rain very likely over rest of the country, said IMD.
The southwest monsoon has been vigorous over Odisha and Konkan and Goa and active over Nagaland-Manipur-Mizoram-Tripura, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, east Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, south interior Karnataka and Kerala.